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  Index

b) local measures illustrated for the metropolitan area Berlin- Brandenburg

Summary of the most important results

    Intercomparison of measures

a) National and International Measures

Intercomparison of the effect of various control measures on the percent of hourly ozone concentrations excceding the 180 µg/m3 threshold (i.e. the threshold value for informing the population). With no measures (i.e., the base case, German: Istzustand) 6,2% of all ground level ozone concentrations (computed hourly over all of Germany for the period July 25 until August 10, 1990) are in excess of 180 µg/m3 .

National and International Long-term Measures
Trend 2005: For Germany, a 37% NOx-reduction and a 42% VOC-reduction relative to the base year 1990. These reductions will be fully achieved by the year 2005 via control measures already adopted (EU-directives, national environmental legislation, etc). In Western Europe, country specific NOx-reductions between 15 and 30%, and VOC-reductions between 20 and 40% are expected. In Eastern Europe, emissions increases between 5 and 20% are anticipated.
Reduction 2005: Trend 2005 with additional control measures for traffic, industry and solvents. For Germany, a 64% NOx-reduction and a 72% VOC-reduction relative to the base year 1990. Outside of Germany the same measures as in Trend 2005.

With no measures (i.e., the base case) 6,2% of all ground level ozone concentrations (computed hourly over all of Germany for the period July 25 until August 10, 1990) are in excess of 180 µg/m3.

For the measure Trend 2005, only 1,9% of all ozone concentrations would exceed the threshhold value of 180 µg/m3. For the measure Reduction 2005, there would be a decrease to 0,7%. With reference to the base case, Trend 2005 would represent a decrease by 69% of the number of hours when ozone exceeds 180 µg/m3, whereas Reduction 2005 leads to a corresponding decrease of 89%.

b) local measures illustrated for the metropolitan area Berlin-Brandenburg

Intercomparison of the effect of various control measures on the percent of hourly ozone concentrations excceding the 180 µg/m3 threshold (i.e. the threshold value for informing the population).

With no measures (i.e., the base case, German: Istzustand) 19,2% of all ground level ozone concentrations on Juli 27, 1994 exceed 180 µg/m3.

Local Measures Reduction of emissions
S1: Temporary speed limit in the Berlin-Brandenburg area NOx: 10%, VOC: 2%
S2: Temporary traffic ban for passenger vehicles without 3-way-catalytic converters in the Berlin-Brandenburg area NOx: 18%, VOC: 42%
S9: Usage of modified fuels in the summer months ("summer fuel") in the Berlin-Brandenburg area and the surrounding states NOx: 3%, VOC:10%
S4a: Speed limit combined with a traffic ban for passenger cars and trucks without catalytic converters in the Berlin-Brandenburg area NOx: 51%, VOC: 47%
S4b: Speed limit combined with a traffic ban for passenger cars and trucks without catalytic converters in the Berlin-Brandenburg area plus speed limit in the surrounding states. NOx: 51%, VOC: 47%
S8a: Speed limit and traffic ban for passenger cars and trucks without catalytic converters in the Berlin-Brandenburg area combined with a shutdown of power plants and industrial combustion units. NOx: 66%, VOC: 60%
S8b: Speed limit and traffic ban for passenger cars and trucks without catalytic converters in the Berlin-Brandenburg area combined with a shutdown of power plants and industrial combustion units plus speed limit in the surrounding states. NOx: 66%, VOC: 60%
Trend 2005: National and international measures that will be fully achieved by the year 2005. NOx: 21%, VOC: 46%

All measures lead to some reduction of the percent of hours exceeding the 180 µg/m3 threshold. Temporary measures as speed limit and traffic ban or the usage of modified fuel (summer fuel) produce only a small reduction in the number of exceedances. The long-term measure Trend 2005 is by far the most effective measure: Only 5% of the ground level ozone concentrations still exceed the threshold value of 180 µg/m3. With reference to the base case this would represent a decrease of the excess ozone by 75% . The scenario Reduction 2005 was not computed for this region.

 
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